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Here's why Harris' Alex Fitch favors Kenvue
  + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why Harris' Alex Fitch favors KenvueAlex Fitch, Harris Associates director of U.S. Research, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss Fitch's investment thesis towards Delta Air Lines, whether investors are not supposed to buy cyclical stocks at peak earnings, and more.
Persons: Harris, Alex Fitch, Kenvue Alex Fitch Organizations: Harris Associates, U.S . Research, Delta Air Lines
Read previewFitch Ratings has cut its outlook for China, adding to the gloom surrounding the world's second-largest economy. It cut its outlook from "stable" to "negative," but maintained its overall rating at "A+." The move comes after Moody's Investor Services, another major credit-rating agency, also downgraded its outlook for China to "negative" in December. As a result Fitch expects economic growth to fall to 4.5% for 2024. The ratings agency said policymakers will probably have no choice but to borrow to address its economic woes.
Persons: , Fitch, Fitch's Organizations: Service, Business, Moody's Investor Services, Analysts, St Louis Federal Reserve, CSI Locations: China, Beijing
Meanwhile, Micron got a price target increase from Bank of America, which sees the chipmaker surging more than 20%. 7:08 a.m.: Jefferies raises forecast on Target Jefferies thinks improving consumer discretionary trends should boost Target shares. The firm increased its price target on the stock to $205 from $195, implying shares gaining 16% from where they closed on Thursday. He upgraded shares to overweight from equal weight and increased his price target by $13 to $59. The bank also revised its bull case price target to $110 from $90, implying upside of nearly 130%.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Target Jefferies, Corey Tarlowe, Jefferies, Tarlowe, TGT's, — Hakyung Kim, Wells, Roger Read, Read, Hakyung Kim, Brandon Oglenski, Hunt, Robinson, Werner, Oglenski, Anthony Cassamassino, Vivek Arya, Arya, , Morgan, DAL, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Delta Air Lines, Micron, Bank of America, Jefferies, Target, Devon Energy, Diamondback Energy, EOG Resources, Barclays, J.B, C.H, Werner Enterprises, Bank of America's, Microsoft, Meta, Next, 2Q, Spotify, Citigroup, Marvell, Devices, TAM, Abercrombie, Fitch's Locations: Wells Fargo, Devon, Delaware, Q2'24, Thursday's, DAL
Abercrombie & Fitch said Wednesday that its holiday-quarter sales jumped 21% and its profits grew thanks to higher prices and lower raw material costs. For the current quarter, Abercrombie expects sales to rise by a low double digit percentage, compared to estimates of up 7.2%, according to LSEG. During the quarter, comparable sales grew 16% and gross margin came in at 62.9%, 7.2 percentage points higher than the year ago period. "Our strong fourth quarter was fueled by sales growth across regions and brands. In early January, Abercrombie raised its fourth quarter and full-year outlook after holiday sales came in better than expected.
Persons: Fitch, Abercrombie, Fran Horowitz, Horowitz, influencers, Hollister, they'll Organizations: Abercrombie, Fitch, Fitch Co, LSEG, Fitch's Locations: New York, Hollister
The US is nearing an "inflection point" as the debt pile accelerates, Ray Dalio told CNBC. AdvertisementThe US's fiscal situation is heading for an "inflection point" as government debt grows faster than income, according to billionaire investor Ray Dalio. With the government borrowing more money to just pay for debt service while spending continues unabated, the hole gets deeper and deeper, he said on a CNBC interview on Friday. AdvertisementSuch issues have also impacted foreign demand, Dalio warned, noting that 40% of US debt is sold to foreigners. We are near that inflection point."
Persons: Ray Dalio, , it's, Torsten Sløk Organizations: CNBC, Service, Bridgewater Associates, Apollo Management
Fitch says US regional bank challenges to persist in 2024
  + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 15 (Reuters) - Rating agency Fitch said on Wednesday that U.S. regional banks will face continued challenges in 2024, with those lacking scale or focused on commercial loan growth disproportionately pressured. Fitch said that a delay in meaningful loosening of monetary policy would likely translate into "sustained competition for deposits" and "stubbornly weak loan growth." Large regional banks focused on commercial loan growth saw the weakest credit demand, which in some cases reached double digit declines on an annualized basis, Fitch said. In third quarter earnings, a string of regional banks reported pressure on net interest income (NII), the difference between what banks earn from lending and pay out on deposits, which hit some of their shares.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Fitch, Bill Gross, Pritam Biswas, Megan Davies, Shounak Dasgupta, Jonathan Oatis, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, SVB, Bengaluru
Take Five: That rate cut trade
  + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters) - Markets are keen to trade rate cuts and big central banks are pushing back, shining a new light on upcoming data in that tug of war. Traders, anticipating roughly three quarter-point Fed rate cuts next year, will now turn their attention to Tuesday's inflation data to confirm their view on the outlook. A sharper cooling could fan the peak rate talk, fuelled by October's employment report, which pointed to an easing in labor markets. Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics3/ ONCE BITTENThe robust dollar suddenly appears vulnerable to the push and pull in the market's Fed rate cut bets. The data could also help justify, or challenge, recent remarks from BoE chief economist Huw Pill that mid-2024 could be the time for rate cuts.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Lewis Krauskopf, Kevin Buckland, Danilo Masoni, Alun John, Dhara, Jerome Powell, Ping, Powell, Rishi Sunak, Sunak, BoE, Huw Pill, Sumanta Sen, Pasit, Riddhima Talwani, Prinz Magtulis, Jayaram, Dhara Ranasinghe, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Traders, Reuters, Beijing, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, New York, Tokyo, Milan, London, Washington, September's, Germany, Europe, ITALY, Italy
Fitch Rating's US downgrade in August has dramatically shifted the debt market's composition. With the US now rated AA+, the amount of outstanding AAA sovereign debt shrank 85% to about $5 trillion. Meanwhile, speculative-grade sovereign debt was little changed at about $6.1 trillion. Without $33 trillion of US debt, AAA debt shrank 85% to about $5 trillion. That narrowed the share of AAA debt to just 6% from over 40%.
Persons: Fitch, Organizations: AAA, Service, AA, Fitch Locations: Germany, Switzerland, Sweden, Singapore, Moody's
A jogger runs by the U.S. Capitol as the deadline to avert a partial government shutdown approaches at the end of the day on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., September 30, 2023. REUTERS/Ken Cedeno/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 4 (Reuters) - Credit rating agency Fitch said on Wednesday the ousting of U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy meant a government shutdown later this year was possible, although it would not affect its U.S. sovereign rating. "Given the fact that the House speaker was ousted right after the continuing resolution was agreed, we expect political brinkmanship around government funding negotiations will remain tense and a shutdown later this year can't be ruled out," Richard Francis, a senior director at Fitch, said in a podcast. A shutdown would not impact Fitch's rating as the country's "deterioration in governance" was already captured in Fitch's downgrade of the U.S. in August, Francis said. Reporting by Davide BarbusciaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Ken Cedeno, Fitch, Kevin McCarthy, Richard Francis, Francis, Davide Barbuscia Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, Fitch, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S
House Republicans are demanding another $120 billion in cuts, plus tougher legislation that would stop the flow of immigrants at the U.S. southern border with Mexico. McCarthy, for his part, suggested late on Tuesday that a shutdown could be avoided if Biden would negotiate on border issues. Most of Congress - including many Senate Republicans - has largely rejected House Republicans' attempts to make the situation at the border with Mexico the focus of the shutdown. The House is expected to vote on its own short term funding measure on Friday. However, it will likely include border measures that will not pass the Senate, meaning the risk of a shutdown remains high.
Persons: Jonathan Ernst, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, McCarthy, Biden, let's, Donald Trump, MAGA, Chuck Schumer, brinkmanship, Mitch McConnell, Henry Cuellar, Moira Warburton, Jeff Mason, Heather Timmons, Grant McCool Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, Democratic, Republican, House Republicans, Biden, Republicans, Social Security, Medicare, Wednesday, ., Aaa, Homeland Security, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Mexico, San Francisco, Ukraine, Russia, Texas, Washington
Ray Dalio, Bridgewater's co-chairman and co-chief investment officer, speaks during the Skybridge Capital SALT New York 2021 conference in New York City, U.S., September 15, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 28 (Reuters) - Ray Dalio believes the United States is going to have a debt crisis and is closely watching the "risky" fiscal situation, CNBC reported on Thursday, citing an interview with the billionaire investor. The country's debt has been under the spotlight in recent months after political brinkmanship around the debt limit earlier this year brought the U.S. close to a default. Though the situation was averted, such partisan conflicts could hurt the country's fiscal reputation, analysts have said. Earlier this week, Fitch's peer Moody's said a government shutdown would harm the country's credit in a stern warning.
Persons: Ray Dalio, Bridgewater's, Brendan McDermid, Fitch, Moody's, Pritam Biswas, Shinjini Organizations: REUTERS, CNBC, Bridgewater Associates, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, Bengaluru
(AP) — A federal appeals court has overturned a lower court ruling that found Mississippi relies too much on institutionalizing people with mental health conditions rather than providing care in their communities. They wrote that the federal government, which sued Mississippi, failed to prove that the state discriminated against people with mental health conditions in violation of the Americans with Disabilities Act. The appeals court judges also wrote that a remedial order by U.S. District Judge Carlton Reeves, which sought to make changes in Mississippi's mental health system, "vastly exceeds the scope of claimed liability.”Mississippi Attorney General Lynn Fitch's office argued that the appeals court should overturn the district judge's ruling. Political Cartoons View All 1171 ImagesThe federal government issued a letter in 2011 saying Mississippi had done too little to provide mental health services outside mental hospitals. Reeves in 2021 approved funding for an independent monitor to collect and analyze data on how Mississippi’s mental health system is working to prevent unnecessary hospitalizations.
Persons: JACKSON, Carlton Reeves, Lynn Fitch's, Fitch, ” Fitch, Reeves Organizations: , U.S, Circuit, Appeals, District, U.S . Justice Department, Mississippi, Justice Locations: Miss, Mississippi, Washington
At a time when shifting geopolitical alliances are elevating India's strategic importance, such curbs add to the contradictions global investors have to negotiate as they hunt for viable alternatives to a slowing China. They said the move will add to end-product costs for foreign vendors and shift consumer spending toward Indian firms or established foreign vendors with a manufacturing base in India. To attract foreign investors, Modi's government doubled to 170 billion rupees ($2.04 billion) its initial budget in May for a production-linked incentive scheme for IT hardware that was approved in 2021. watch now"India's large and growing domestic market, limited political instability and long-term policy continuity bolsters India's appeal to investors," Dasgupta said. Attracted by such lofty projections, global investors have also poured into Indian equity markets this year.
Persons: Javier Ghersi, Narendra Modi's, There's, Pravin Krishna Johns, it's, Pravin Krishna, Krishna, Rajeev Chandrasekhar, Taiwan's Foxconn, iPhones, Sumedha Dasgupta, Dasgupta, Modi, Goldman Sachs, Organizations: Apple, Samsung, Dell, Pravin Krishna Johns Hopkins University's School, Johns Hopkins University's School, International, BMI Industry Research, South, BMI, Sumedha Dasgupta Economist Intelligence, Economist Intelligence Unit, CNBC, Bharatiya Janata Party, U.S, The, Monetary Fund, Capital Locations: India, China, Russia, Ukraine, Vietnam
The BlackRock logo is pictured outside their headquarters in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., May 25, 2021. "We prefer short-term government bonds over credit," the institute, an arm of BlackRock (BLK.N), the world's largest asset manager, said in a note. "We go underweight high quality credit on a strategic view of five years and longer and trim our overall underweight to sovereign bonds." "We think high quality credit offers limited compensation for any potential hit to returns from wider spreads and sensitivity to interest rate swings," the institute said. "To turn positive on long-term bonds, we would need to see term premium rise much more or think market expectations of future policy rates are too high.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Davide Barbuscia, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, BlackRock Investment, ICE, Thomson Locations: BlackRock, Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S
The biggest risk of de-dollarization is that the US could lose a key tool it's used to fight past crises, JPMorgan said. De-dollarization risks mostly relate to inflation and debt burdens, strategists said. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. Instead, the key de-dollarization risk that Western economies face is mostly related to inflation and their debt burdens, they explained. Bu while JPMorgan expects "marginal de-dollarization," to take place, the pace is not expected to be rapid.
Persons: , Marko Kolanovic, dollarization Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, West, AA, AAA Locations: Western, Wall, Silicon, East, Ukraine
REUTERS/Amr Alfiky Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Sept 1 (Reuters) - Credit rating agency Moody's raised its 2023 U.S. economic growth forecast on Friday but cut its estimate next year for China, saying that while the risk of a recession had fallen in the United States, China's challenges were mounting. "We have raised our growth forecast for the United States' economy to 1.9% in 2023 from 1.1% in our May outlook, acknowledging the strong underlying economic momentum," Moody's said in a report. The firm, now the only big three agency to have a top notch triple A rating for the U.S. following Fitch's downgrade last month, kept its 2024 growth forecast at 1%, saying that high interest rates would act as a brake on the economy. Moody's kept its growth projection for this year at 5% but cut its 2024 forecast to 4.0% from 4.5% previously. "We believe that low consumer confidence is holding back household spending, and economic and policy uncertainty will continue to weigh on business decisions".
Persons: Amr Alfiky, Moody's, Marc Jones, Mark Potter Organizations: Liberty, REUTERS, Fed, Aaa, Thomson Locations: Liberty State, Manhattan, Jersey City , New Jersey, U.S, China, United States
Before turning 93 on Wednesday, Warren Buffett made a number of astute moves in the past 12 months that helped push his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway to an all-time high. Buying T-bills Buffett's massive cash hoard swelled to nearly $150 billion at the end of the second quarter. And the only question for next Monday is whether we will buy $10 billion in 3-month or 6-month" T-bills, Buffett told CNBC. Ramping up Japan bet Buffett recently hiked his stakes in five Japanese trading houses — Itochu , Marubeni , Mitsubishi , Mitsui and Sumitomo — to more than 8.5%. Occidental stake tops 25% Buffett also kept buying the dip in Occidental Petroleum , now owning a quarter of the oil giant.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, he's, Buffett, Treasurys, Chamath Palihapitiya, oilman Armand Hammer, NVR, Todd Combs, Ted Weschler, Benjamin Moore Organizations: Buffett, Berkshire, CNBC, Japan, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Sumitomo, Social, Occidental, Occidental Petroleum, Clayton Homes, Berkshire Hathaway Energy Locations: Berkshire, Fitch's, U.S, Japan, Occidental, Horton
S&P 500 futures climbed 0.3% while Nasdaq futures rose 0.4%. Its blockbuster report last quarter fueled a rally in tech stocks and artificial intelligence hopes, propelling the S&P 500 this year. Shares of Nvidia hit an all-time high of $481.87 overnight, with options data showing traders are expecting a larger-than-usual swing in shares after the quarterly results. The Dow Jones (.DJI) fell 0.5%, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 0.3% and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 0.1%. Financial shares underperformed, with the S&P 500 banks (.SPXBK) sliding 2.4%, after S&P joined Moody's to downgrade multiple regional U.S. lenders.
Persons: Issei Kato, Powell's Jackson, Nvidia NVDA.O, Stuart Humphrey, Humphrey, Dow Jones, Moody's, Treasuries, Thomas Barkin, Jerome Powell, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Markets, Nvidia, SYDNEY, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Financial, Richmond Fed, U.S ., Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, United States, U.S, China, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
Investors should expect a stock market rally this week amid two big catalysts, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. Lee expects solid earnings from Nvidia and dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole. "I think the Fed might be worried something's going to break" amid a renewed surge in interest rates, Lee said. The key will be the direction of interest rates but we see positive catalysts emerging at the end of this week," Lee said. The second catalyst investors should watch this week is Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole on Friday, which comes amid a renewed surge in interest rates.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Jerome Powell's, Powell Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Federal, Bank Locations: Wall, Silicon, China
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. The simplest conclusion is the Fed will not be able to ease again in anything like the way many had assumed or still think. This will lift the 'term premium' embedded in long-term bond yields, which has been so subdued since Fed balance sheet expansion met the crash of 2008, even if the Fed is done tightening policy rates, he said. Fed policy is more neutral than restrictive "if you believe we've returned to a pre-2008 world", he said, and that limits the scope for rate cuts in future. Writing by Mike Dolan; Editing by Susan FentonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, handwringing, Anujeet, we've, Amanda Lynam, Mike Dolan, Susan Fenton Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reserve, Treasury, U.S, AAA, Atlanta, Deutsche Bank, Vanguard, Federal Reserve, Brandywine Global, BlackRock, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
CNBC Daily Open: More trouble ahead for U.S. banks
  + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Seasonally adjusted retail sales rose 0.7% for the month; economists were expecting 0.4%. Excluding autos, sales rose 1% against a 0.4% forecast. It's a good time to sell these six stocks to lock in profits — and buy five cheap ones, he said.
Persons: It's Organizations: CNBC, Fitch, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Commerce Department Locations: Asia, Pacific, China
CNBC Daily Open: More obstacles for U.S. banks
  + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. U.S. consumer strong as everU.S. consumer spending in July remained healthy, according to data from the Commerce Department. Seasonally adjusted retail sales rose 0.7% for the month; economists were expecting 0.4%. Excluding autos, sales rose 1% against a 0.4% forecast.
Organizations: CNBC, bourse, Fitch, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Commerce Department, U.S Locations: Russian
For investors who had expected more economic strife, sticking to those calls has become increasingly difficult. "It's going to take longer for rates to rally," said John Madziyire, senior portfolio manager and head of U.S. Treasuries and TIPS at Vanguard Fixed Income Group. "Recession or no recession, we think the probability of higher-for-longer interest rates is far greater than the likelihood of near-term cuts," credit investment firm Oaktree Capital said in a recent note. A re-acceleration in inflation could lead to higher rates than the market has priced in. Some are navigating the uncertainty by combining exposure to higher-yielding short term bonds with long-term bonds in case of a downturn.
Persons: , Felipe Villarroel, John Madziyire, Oaktree Capital, Danielle Poli, Anthony Woodside, Woodside, Stephen Dover, Chip Hughey, Davide Barbuscia, Richard Chang Organizations: Bond, Federal Reserve, TwentyFour Asset Management, Bank of, Fitch's U.S, Treasury, Oaktree, Fund, Reuters, U.S, Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, Truist Advisory Services, Vanguard, Thomson Locations: U.S, Oaktree
Morning Bid: Bonds calm down but Chinese markets smolder
  + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsA look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanRestive bonds showed signs of calm on Wednesday, but China's struggling economy and markets continue to unnerve world markets. A twin jolt from resurgent western debt yields and China's deepening economic funk and property sector troubles have made for a bumpy August to date. After a slew of dour retail, industrial and property investment numbers earlier this week, China reported on Wednesday that home prices fell for the first time this year. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan Restive, swooned, Goldman Sachs, Neel Kashkari, I'm, Fitch, JPMorgan Chase, Mike Dolan, Emelia Sithole Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Minneapolis Fed, United States, AAA, JPMorgan, Bank of America, of, Cisco, Amcor, New, New York Fed, . Federal Reserve, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Wall St, China, United, New York, Canada
Investors who want to lock in high rates on longer-term Treasurys may want to act sooner rather than later, according to Wells Fargo Investment Institute. The 10-year Treasury is currently yielding around 4.2%. "We think 10-year Treasury yields in the 4% to 4.5% zone may represent a fixed-income opportunity for investors who have been seeking higher yields over the course of the last 15 years," he added. "It makes sense that investors would require a higher yield when purchasing government debt in the wake of these announcements," he said. In addition to 10-year Treasurys, the bank has also lowered its equities allocation and "parked" those funds in short-term Treasurys, getting yields over 5% in 3-month, 6-month and 12-month maturities, Wren wrote.
Persons: Scott Wren, Wren, Wells Organizations: Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Treasury, Federal Reserve, U.S . Treasury Locations: Wells Fargo
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